Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.000139 0.000155 0.000172 0.000192 0.000214 0.000238 0.000266
2025-08-24 0.000114 0.000135 0.000159 0.000189 0.000224 0.000264 0.000314
2025-08-31 0.000096 0.000121 0.000150 0.000187 0.000234 0.000291 0.000364
2025-09-07 0.000084 0.000110 0.000143 0.000187 0.000245 0.000318 0.000418
2025-09-14 0.000073 0.000100 0.000136 0.000185 0.000253 0.000342 0.000469
2025-09-21 0.000066 0.000094 0.000132 0.000187 0.000266 0.000373 0.000531
2025-09-28 0.000060 0.000088 0.000128 0.000188 0.000276 0.000401 0.000592
2025-10-05 0.000054 0.000082 0.000123 0.000187 0.000283 0.000424 0.000647
2025-10-12 0.000051 0.000079 0.000122 0.000191 0.000298 0.000460 0.000724
2025-10-19 0.000047 0.000075 0.000119 0.000191 0.000307 0.000487 0.000788
2025-10-26 0.000043 0.000071 0.000116 0.000191 0.000315 0.000513 0.000853
2025-11-02 0.000039 0.000067 0.000112 0.000189 0.000320 0.000534 0.000910
2025-11-09 0.000037 0.000064 0.000110 0.000190 0.000331 0.000565 0.000991
2025-11-16 0.000034 0.000060 0.000105 0.000188 0.000335 0.000586 0.001054
2025-11-23 0.000031 0.000057 0.000102 0.000187 0.000341 0.000612 0.001129
2025-11-30 0.000029 0.000055 0.000100 0.000187 0.000349 0.000642 0.001211
2025-12-07 0.000027 0.000052 0.000097 0.000185 0.000354 0.000665 0.001285
2025-12-14 0.000026 0.000050 0.000096 0.000188 0.000367 0.000704 0.001391
2025-12-21 0.000024 0.000048 0.000095 0.000189 0.000377 0.000738 0.001491
2025-12-28 0.000022 0.000046 0.000092 0.000187 0.000382 0.000764 0.001575
2026-01-04 0.000022 0.000045 0.000092 0.000191 0.000398 0.000812 0.001711
2026-01-11 0.000020 0.000044 0.000090 0.000192 0.000407 0.000846 0.001817
2026-01-18 0.000019 0.000042 0.000089 0.000192 0.000414 0.000877 0.001922